Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.252352 0.296081 0.347805 0.414244 0.498408 0.602989 0.745210
2025-02-09 0.189011 0.242777 0.314809 0.421477 0.581153 0.821671 1.234117
2025-02-16 0.154297 0.211369 0.295131 0.433651 0.671840 1.098513 2.021232
2025-02-23 0.130871 0.188100 0.278146 0.440783 0.755161 1.414201 3.214396
2025-03-02 0.113745 0.169762 0.262934 0.443965 0.831324 1.770782 5.034408
2025-03-09 0.100130 0.154005 0.247742 0.441319 0.893811 2.149487 7.735537
2025-03-16 0.088598 0.139562 0.231500 0.431146 0.934398 2.511317 11.505437
2025-03-23 0.082135 0.132780 0.227846 0.446287 1.047505 3.236199 20.933950
2025-03-30 0.074256 0.122207 0.214740 0.436079 1.085925 3.744426 33.144549
2025-04-06 0.069208 0.116164 0.209609 0.443546 1.184215 4.683954 65.655225
2025-04-13 0.063765 0.108639 0.200064 0.437208 1.234840 5.493860 123.809923
2025-04-20 0.060223 0.104377 0.196816 0.446809 1.351537 7.004127 344.826710
2025-04-27 0.057438 0.101380 0.196103 0.464237 1.518423 9.493681 1944.679690
2025-05-04 0.054553 0.097849 0.193630 0.476222 1.677040 12.715638 54785.738124
2025-05-11 0.052130 0.094995 0.192299 0.491661 1.871543 17.718893 NaN
2025-05-18 0.049602 0.091620 0.189149 0.500428 2.045107 24.184459 NaN
2025-05-25 0.047098 0.088025 0.184887 0.504297 2.200103 32.558915 NaN
2025-06-01 0.044545 0.084063 0.179105 0.501202 2.313597 42.301457 NaN
2025-06-08 0.041886 0.079615 0.171454 0.489193 2.359170 51.486025 NaN
2025-06-15 0.040581 0.078135 0.171542 0.507088 2.654837 83.801121 NaN
2025-06-22 0.038334 0.074265 0.164577 0.495023 2.701311 104.967845 NaN
2025-06-29 0.036962 0.072331 0.162760 0.503848 2.949825 170.070449 NaN
2025-07-06 0.035186 0.069291 0.157429 0.496357 3.042623 235.017803 NaN